February 19, 2026

Ep. 64 – Crash, Correction, or Recovery: A 2026 Toronto Real Estate Discussion

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In this episode of The Last Honest Realtor, David Fleming breaks down some of the most overused and misunderstood words in real estate: crash, correction, fluctuation, and recovery. Using real Toronto-area data, historical context, and recent media headlines, David explains why sensational language often misses the mark and what actually qualifies as a market crash.

From price declines versus sales collapses, to the unprecedented boom during the pandemic and the fallout in the pre-construction condo market, this episode offers a clear, data-driven framework for understanding where the market has been and where it may be headed next.

In This Episode:

  • 02:14 – Why Everyone Uses the Word “Crash”
  • 08:57 – Why Percentages and Time Matter
  • 09:35 – Defining Crash vs. Correction
  • 10:22 – The Missing Piece: Recovery
  • 18:26 – The One Area That Actually Crashed: New Condo Sales
  • 21:15 – What a Recovery Actually Means
  • 30:46 – How Condo Development Will Be Financed in the Future
  • 38:13 – January 2026 TREBB Data Overview